by Peter Schiff, Schiff Gold:
While broader macroeconomic trends are always what’s most significant for the gold price during any given election, some interesting trends emerge when you look at the numbers. And when an election is contentious, historic, or chaotic as 2024’s promises to be, the outcome is all the more significant for gold.
From the January to the September preceding elections since 1980, gold prices have tended to rise. This is often attributed to the nature of the relationship between incumbent presidents and the Fed, as existing administrations put pressure on the central bank to maintain looser monetary policy to foster an illusion of economic prosperity (which presidents can then “take credit” for). Meanwhile, knowing that they’re more likely to be replaced if the other side wins, Fed chairs have an incentive to play ball.