by Larry C. Johnson , Sonar21:

Nine weeks before the Houthis stunned the region by breaking out of their northern strongholds, Karl Miller told me it was coming. In a private note dated July 1, he reasoned that Mohammed bin Salman was running his familiar balance-of-power game — placing bets around his perimeter to deny Iran, Turkey, and Iraq any added leverage, the Houthis included — and from that premise drew two specific calls: that the Houthis would push into rebel-held territory in the south if the chaos handed them an opening, and that the UAE- and Saudi-backed factions arrayed against them were not organized. Both landed. In September the Houthis drove on Mokha, took Perim Island, and reached the Bab el-Mandeb coast while the coalition line dissolved into the desert. It was a hedged, mechanism-up call, not a claimed bullseye — but he read the opening before it opened.