Thursday, December 12, 2024

Tag: Expect the Polls to Tighten Further

Kamala Harris Has Peaked, Expect the Polls to Tighten Further

by Mish Shedlock, Mish Talk:

Perhaps there is one more Democrat convention upswing, but it appears euphoria over Harris is fading. What’s going on?

On August 14, Harris held a 56.7 percent to 42.7 percent edge over Trump. Harris lead is now down to 53.8 percent to 45.7 percent.

Silver Bulletin Comments

🕒 Last update: 12:30 p.m., Saturday, August 17: More polling than we’re used to on a Saturday. The big news is a set of four New York Times/Siena College polls in Sunbelt states, which show somewhat quirky results: Harris +5 in Arizona, Harris +2 in North Carolina, Trump +1 in Nevada and Trump +4 in Georgia. Separately, there’s a Trump +1 in Pennsylvania that came in after our deadline yesterday.