Tuesday, March 2, 2021

Tag: Six Things That Make a Brokered Democratic Convention More Likely

Six Things That Make a Brokered Democratic Convention More Likely

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by Mish Shedlock, The Maven:

The odds of a brokered convention are greater than most think.

Five Significant Changes

  1. The superdelegates do not get to vote in the first round this year unless a candidate has a majority. Unlike 2016 when they all went to Hillary, this year they don’t vote until round 2 unless it is already decided.
  2. California is now part of Super Tuesday. In 2016, the California primary was held on June 7. This year, the survivor bias bandwagon effect will be significantly reduced and possibly eliminated.