by Mish Shedlock, The Street:
To suggest a lag of about a week is wrong.
Key Reasons the Lag isn’t a Week
- States did not peak at the same time. Averaging the states together smoothed out the curve.
- States had different reporting methods. Some states lumped probable deaths in with known deaths.
- Some states purposely downplayed deaths.
If is highly likely Florida artificially and purposely undercounted Covid deaths.
The Tampa Bay Times reports Florida medical examiners were releasing coronavirus death data. The state made them stop.
When the medical examiners’ list was available, it showed more deaths than the state’s count.
The Palm Beach Post editorial says Gov. DeSantis still hiding crucial data on COVID-19 deaths from the public.
The number of cases are now too many to hide.
Typical Reaction to Bad Analysis
Federal Reopening Criteria
Distorted “Real World” Methodology Explained
The proper way to compare death rates is to pay heed to state-by-state variations and lag rates.
Lag Time in Florida