from ZeroHedge:

Update: FX markets just opened and as expected there is some Euro-selling pressure in the early going…

Update: here is the latest breakdown according to ARD:

• Merkel’s CDU/CSU projected to win 32.9{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of votes
• SPD projected to win 20.8{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• AfD projected to win 13.1{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• FDP projected to win 10.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• Greens projected to win 8.9{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• Left projected to win 8.9{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}

The following Bloomberg projection of the Bundestag’s projected seat breakdown shows just how strong the AfD surge has been in context, and how splintered Germany’s establishment is as a result.

The German polls have officially closed, and the first exit polls numbers come in, confirming the expected fourth victory for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU, however getting a unexpectedly low 32.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of the vote, which according to Europe Elects was the worst result for Merkel’s CDU/CSU (EPP) since 1949. Merkel’s main challenger, the SPD, got 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}, also its worst result since Nazi era 1945; furthermore, the SPD has said it plans to enter the opposition, collapsing the current CDU/CSU-SPD “grand coalition.” 

In other words, just like in the recent Franch elections, the German establishment was just trounced:

• Worst result for Merkel’s CDU/CSU since 1949 
• Worst result for SPD Since 1945

Meanwhile, there was an unexpected surge for the newcomers: the dramatic (late) surge for the nationalist AfD party, which got a higher than expected 13.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of the vote, has made it not only the third most popular German party but also the first far-right German party to enter the Bundestag in 60 years.

The first exit poll breakdown from ARD is as follows.

• CDU/CSU – 32.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• SPD – 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• AfD – 13.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• FDP – 10.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• Greens – 9.5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}
• Left party – 9{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}

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