Sunday, November 29, 2020

Tag: Disorderly Brexit Would Trigger Mayhem in Derivatives Market

Disorderly Brexit Would Trigger Mayhem in Derivatives Market

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by Wolf Richter, Wolf Street:

Time is running out. March 29 is the deadline. Urgent action is needed. But it’s not happening.

With less than six-and-a-half months to go before the UK’s deadline to leave the EU expires, progress is still lacking in the Brexit negotiations, in particular on crunch issues such as the Irish border and the equivalency of financial services. As the doomsday clock ticks down,  jitters are rising on both sides of the English Channel, particularly the English-speaking one.

On Monday, Moody’s said the probability of a no-deal Brexit has “risen materially,” and “would be negative for an array of issuers.” Such an outcome could bring with it a host of ugly consequences for the UK economy, ranging from a further weakening pound to higher inflation and sliding real wages, as well as undesirable knock-on effects for EU economies.