Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Household Debt At Record Level – Bigger Than China’s GDP

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by Dave Kranzler, Investment Research Dynamics:

The economy continues to grow weaker despite all of the Fed, Wall St. and media propaganda to the contrary. The economy is growing weaker due to the deteriorating financial condition of the consumer, which is by far the biggest driver of GDP in the United States. The only way the policy-makers can avoid a systemic collapse is “helicopter” money printing, in which printed cash or digital currency credits is, in some manner, distributed to the populace.

The Fed reported that non-revolving consumer debt (not including mortgage debt) hit $2.6 trillion at the end of the first quarter. Student loans outstanding hit a record $1.44 trillion. Recall that at least 40{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of this debt is in some form of delinquency, default or “approved” non-pay status. Auto loans hit a record $1.2 trillion. Of this, at the very least  30{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} is subprime. A meaningful portion of the auto debt is of such poor credit quality when it’s issued that it is not even rated. Credit card debt is now over $1 trillion dollars and at a record level. The average outstanding balance per capita is $9600 per card for those who don’t pay in full at the end of the month.  Just counting the households with credit card debt  balances, the average balance per household is $16,000.  The average household auto loan balance for all households with a car loan is over $29,000.

The data shows a consumer that is buried in debt and will likely begin to default at an accelerating rate this year. In fact, I’d call these statistics an impending economic and financial disaster. Credit card companies are already warning about credit charge-offs. Synchrony (which issues credit cards for Amazon and Walmart) reported that its credit card charge-offs would rise at least 5{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} in 2017. Capital One (Question: “What’s in your wallet?” – Answer: “Not money”) reported that credit card charge-offs soared 28{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} year over year for Q1.  Synchrony, Capital One and Discover combined increased their Q1 provision for bad loans by 36{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} over last year’s provisions taken.

The monthly consumer credit report last week showed a $12.4 billion increase over May. A $16 billion increase was expected by Wall St. Keep in mind that every month of credit expansion is another new all-time high in consumer debt. Credit card debt outstanding increased by $4.1 billion, which is troubling for two reasons. First, it’s likely that financial firms are lending to less than qualified borrowers, as evidenced by the rising credit card delinquency and charge-off rates. Second, given the declining household real disposable income and savings rate, it’s likely that households are using credit card debt to pay for non-discretionary expenses. The smaller than expected increase in credit is being attributed primarily to slower growth in auto loans.

Speaking of the auto industry, Bloomberg reported last week that auto dealers, in a desperate bid to increase sales and reduce inventory, cut prices on new cars and trucks in July by the most since March 2009. It also reported that used car prices dropped 4.1{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}. This graph from Meridian Macro Research captures the rapid deterioration auto sales (click to enlarge):4

The chart shows rate of change in motor vehicle freight carload volume on a year over year basis vs. per capita auto sales. As you can see, the last time these two metrics were showing negative growth (a decline) and heading lower was 2008. The entire “boom” in auto sales since the “cash for clunkers” program, which ran from July 2009 to November 2009, has been artificially created by a massive expansion in Government-enabled credit and Fed money printing. The impending crash in the auto industry is unavoidable unless the Government resorts to outright “helicopter” money printing (i.e. giving cash directly to households rather than to the banks).

One of the best barometers of consumer financial health is restaurant sales, which are entirely dependent on the relative level of household disposable income that can be allocated to non-discretionary expenditures. Black Box Intelligence’s monthly restaurant industry snapshot,  released Thursday,  showed another monthly decline in restaurant sales and traffic – this one steeper than the past couple of months. I believe this is the 17th successive monthly year-over-year decline. Comp sales (year over year for July) were down 2.8{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} and comp traffic dropped 4.7{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}. The latter is more significant, as it better represents actual sales volume because dollar sales are boosted by price inflation. In contrast to these Real World numbers, the BLS reported in its employment report for July that the restaurant industry created 57,000 new jobs. This is not just flagrant misrepresentation of reality for propaganda purposes, it’s outright fraud.

Read More @ InvestmentResearchDynamics.com

Insane Home Prices in Silicon Valley & San Francisco Trip Up Jobs Growth

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by Wolf Richter, Wolf Street:

Bay Area housing affordability nightmare hits home, so to speak.

What happens in a large urban market when a young couple with a household income that is far above median cannot afford to buy even a modest home? What happens to that local economy? That’s what everyone wants to know, because this is precisely the fate San Francisco, Silicon Valley, and surrounding Bay Area counties are contemplating.

The Housing Affordability Index (HAI), released by the California Association of Realtors (CAR), has some bad news for these people – and possibly for the trends in the local economy and the housing market.

The median price – 50{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} cost more, 50{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} cost less – in San Francisco of a single-family house hit $1.45 million in Q2, according to CAR. This does not include condos, whose prices are somewhat less deadly. It puts San Francisco in second place in the Bay Area, behind San Mateo County, which comprises the northern part of Silicon Valley. Santa Clara County, in fourth place, comprises the southern part of Silicon Valley. In third place is Marin County, just north of the Golden Gate Bridge:

The HAI measures affordability based on this median price of a single-family house (not condo) by county. It figures mortgage payments based on a composite of national effective fixed and adjustable mortgage rates to finance 80{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of the price of the home.

The remaining 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} would be that elusive down-payment – elusive because for a median home in the counties of San Francisco or San Mateo, that down-payment would be nearly $300,000. If you live in an expensive city, it’s devilishly hard to save $300,000. So generally, forget that 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} down-payment. Maybe go for a 3{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} down-payment ($43,000). In other words, realistically, the payments are going to be much higher and affordability even lower.

After assuming the existence of that 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} down-payment, the HAI then figures the monthly burden of owning that home: the mortgage payment, property taxes, and insurance. It does not include the tax effects of the mortgage interest deduction.

Given historically low mortgage rates – 30-year fixed-rate mortgages are still quoted under 4{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} – and that elusive 20{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} down-payment, the minimum qualifying household income needed to buy a median home in the counties of San Mateo and San Francisco would be nearly $300,000 per year:

The report also points out that these minimum qualifying income levels have about doubled for most of these counties since Q1 2012.

Read More @ WolfStreet.com

Man Arrested In Plot To Blow Up Oklahoma Bank, Had Considered Federal Reserve Building

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from ZeroHedge:

An Oklahoma man was arrested by the FBI this Saturday on charges that he tried to detonate what he thought was a 1,000-pound bomb, acting “out of a hatred for the U.S. government” and an admiration for Oklahoma City bomber Timothy Mc­Veigh, according to court papers. Jerry Drake Varnell, of Sayre, Oklahoma, was arrested shortly after an early Saturday morning attempt to detonate a fake bomb packed into what he believed was a stolen cargo van outside a bank in Oklahoma City, according to a criminal complaint filed in federal court the Washington Post reports. Varnell was charged with attempted destruction of a building by means of an explosive.

“This arrest is the culmination of a long-term domestic terrorism investigation involving an undercover operation, during which Varnell had been monitored closely for months as the alleged bomb plot developed,” federal prosecutors said in a statement. “The device was actually inert, and the public was not in danger.

Prosecutors said that during the investigation an undercover agent had posed as a co-conspirator and agreed to help Varnell build what he believed was a 1,000-pound (454 kg) explosive.

What is notable is that Varnell, 23, discussed a number of potential targets, including the Marriner Eccles building also known as the home of Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C., an IRS building in Maryland and a Bank of America data center in Texas.

Eventually, he settled on attacking a BancFirst building in Oklahoma City which is located a few blocks from where the Alfred P. Murrah Federal Building stood. A truck loaded with explosives was detonated in front of the Murrah building in 1995 in what was called an act of domestic terrorism.

The complaint filed in the federal court in Oklahoma City said that at the onset of the investigation, Varnell said he wanted to build a team to conduct a bombing. “I’m out for blood,'” the complaint quoted Varnell as saying. “‘When militias start getting formed I’m going after government officials when I have a team.'”

The FBI alleges that over the course of a months-long undercover investigation by the FBI, Varnell made repeated statements about the extent of his hatred of the federal government. The complaint alleges that in one conversation he said he believed in the “Three Percenter” ideology, a form of anti-government activism that pledges resistance against the United States government on the belief it has infringed on the Constitution, according to court papers. As the WaPo explains, “those who subscribe to the ideology incorrectly believe that only 3{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of the colonial population participated in the American Revolution, and they see themselves as their heirs.”

According to the complaint, and perhaps taking a hint from a popular 1999 movie, Varnell expressed a desire “to blow up buildings”, but in a way that would minimize deaths or casualties, possibly by detonating the device at night when offices would be mostly empty. Still, he was prepared to take other peoples’ lives:

On June 26, Varnell discussed the possibility that people could be killed, and said, “You got to break a couple of eggs to make an omelet,’’ according to the complaint. “That’s why people don’t do this s— because, you know, you got to be able to overcome that little reality there,” he said, according to the compaint.

 

As part of that conversation, Varnell said he wanted to do something that would “somehow cripple the government. Something that sends a message that says, ‘You are a target.’ ”

 

Two weeks later, however, Varnell indicated he wanted to detonate the bomb after work hours to prevent casualties, saying, “I’m down for whatever. Safety is number one.”

The FBI said Varnell watched the construction of the fake bomb around 6:30 p.m. Friday. He then drove the vehicle containing the device to an alley adjacent to the bank building and parked it there. After midnight, he twice attempted to detonate the bomb remotely, and shortly after those attempts was arrested.

U.S. prosecutors said Varnell had prepared a social media message to be posted after the explosion, and helped make and load a device into a stolen van. If convicted, Varnell could serve 20 years in prison.

Read More @ ZeroHedge.com

3RD CONSECUTIVE RAID ATTEMPT BY OUR BANKERS FAILED WITH RESPECT TO GOLD AND SILVER

by Harvey Organ, Harvey Organ Blog:

OPEN INTEREST IN SILVER CONTINUES TO FALL DESPITE THE RISE IN PRICE WHICH INDICATES BANKER CAPITULATION/GLD STOPS ITS BLEEDING OF GOLD ANS INVENTORIES RISE BY 4.14 TONNES/CHINA ANNOUNCES A HALT TO ALL IMPORTS CONTAINING COAL, IRON, IRON ORE AND SEAFOOD FROM NORTH KOREA/ THE UKRAINE IS THE SOURCE OF ENGINES ON THOSE NORTH KOREAN MISSILES: AND THE UKRAINE IS AN ALLY OF THE USA?

GOLD: $1284.70  DOWN $3.10

Silver: $17.14  up 6 cent(s)

Closing access prices:

Gold $1282.20

silver: $17.08

SHANGHAI GOLD FIX:  FIRST FIX  10 15 PM EST  (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)

SECOND FIX:  2:15 AM EST  (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)

SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1292.87 DOLLARS PER OZ

NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME:  $1287.85

PREMIUM FIRST FIX:  $5.02

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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1290.15

NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1285.70

Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$4.45

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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX:  5:30 am est  $1281.10

NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1281.95 

LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX  10 AM: $1282.30

NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. $1282.30 

For comex gold:

AUGUST/

NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR APRIL CONTRACT MONTH: 34 NOTICE(S) FOR  3400  OZ.

TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 4521 FOR 452,100 OZ (14.062 TONNES) 

For silver:

AUGUST

 

 20 NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR

 

100,000  OZ/

Total number of notices filed so far this month: 830 for 4,150,000 oz

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

 

end

 

 

Today, the bankers tried to raid both gold and silver for the third consecutive day and failed again.  The open interest in silver continues to fall despite a rise in price and it sure looks like banker capitulation as they try to extricate themselves from their mess. Another good indicator of trouble for our bankers is that the bleeding of gold has stopped  (physical gold supplying Eastern countries e.g. China, Russia and Turkey). Today 4.14 tonnes of gold was added to inventories. SLV showed no gain or loss of silver inventory.

Let us have a look at the data for today

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In silver, the total open interest SURPRISINGLY FELL BY A HUGE4967 contracts from 194,445 down to 189,478 DESPITE THE  RISE IN THE PRICE THAT SILVER TOOK WITH RESPECT TO FRIDAY’S TRADING (UP 4 CENT(S) AND THE FAILED RAID. SIMPLE EXPLANATION: THE BANKERS HAVE CAPITULATED….THEY ARE TRYING TO COVER THEIR SHORTFALL AT HIGHER AND HIGHER PRICES. THE BANKERS ARE HAVING EXTREME DIFFICULTY IN SUPPLYING ADDITIONAL SHORT PAPER AND LONGS CONTINUE TO ADVANCE TAKING ON THE BANKER SHORTS. THE BATTLE OF WATERLOO WILL BE FAST APPROACHING

 In ounces, the OI is still represented by just UNDER 1 BILLION oz i.e.  0.947 BILLION TO BE EXACT or 135{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).

FOR THE NEW FRONT MAY MONTH/ THEY FILED: 20 NOTICE(S) FOR 100,000OZ OF SILVER

In gold, the open interest ROSE by A CONSIDERABLE 5,002 WITH the RISE in price of gold ($4.10 GAIN ON FRIDAY.)  The new OI for the gold complex rests at 480,915.  IN COMPLETE CONTRAST TO SILVER, THE BANKERS SUPPLIED THE MASSIVE AMOUNT OF PAPER SHORT GOLD WHICH WAS GOBBLED UP BY THE LONGS.  THE NEWBIE SPEC SHORTS HAVE NO DOUBT COVERED THEIR SHORT POSITION BY NOW.  I WROTE THE FOLLOWING TO MY FRIENDS OVER THE WEEKEND: “WE MUST BE COGNIZANT OF ANOTHER RAID THIS COMING WEEK AS THE OI FOR GOLD IS EXTREMELY HIGH AND THE NOOSE IS AROUND THEIR NECKS IN SILVER.”  THE CROOKS DID NOT TAKE LONG TO INITIATE ANOTHER RAID TODAY

we had: 34 notice(s) filed upon for 3400 oz of gold.

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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:

GLD:

Today, a big change in gold inventory: a deposit of 4.14 tonnes into the GLD

Inventory rests tonight: 791.01 tonnes

 

IN THE LAST 21 TRADING DAYS: GLD SHEDS 45.96 TONNES YET GOLD IS HIGHER BY $45.85 . 

SLV

Today: : WE NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY TONIGHT:

INVENTORY RESTS AT 335.825 MILLION OZ

 

end

.

First, here is an outline of what will be discussed tonight:

1. Today, we had the open interest in silver FALL BY  4,967 contracts from 194,445 DOWN TO 189,478 (AND now A LITTLE FURTHER FROM THE NEW COMEX RECORD SET ON FRIDAY/APRIL 21/2017 AT 234,787). THE FALL IN OPEN INTEREST WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A SMALL RISE IN PRICE AND FOR THE FIRST TIME WE ARE WITNESSING BANKER CAPITULATION.  BANKERS ARE LOATHE TO SUPPLY NEW SHORT PAPER AND THE LONGS CONTINUE TO ENTER THE ARENA PURCHASING WHATEVER SILVER THEY CAN AND WILLING TO TAKE ON OUR CROOKED BANKERS. 

(report Harvey)

.

2.a) The Shanghai and London gold fix report

(Harvey)

 

2 b) Gold/silver trading overnight Europe, Goldcore

(Mark O’Byrne/zerohedge

and in NY:  Bloomberg

3. ASIAN AFFAIRS

i)Late SUNDAY night/MONDAY morning: Shanghai closed UP 28.92 POINTS OR 0.90{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}   / /Hang Sang CLOSED UP 366.72 POINTS OR 1.36{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528} The Nikkei closed DOWN 192.64 POINTS OR .98{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}/Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED UP 0.61{5f621241b214ad2ec6cd4f506191303eb2f57539ef282de243c880c2b328a528}/Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed DOWN at 6.6720/Oil DOWN to 48.49 dollars per barrel for WTI and 51.72 for Brent. Stocks in Europe OPENED DEEPLY IN THE GREEN , Offshore yuan trades  6.6874 yuan to the dollar vs 6.6720 for onshore yuan. NOW THE OFFSHORE IS WEAKER  TO THE ONSHORE YUAN/ ONSHORE YUAN WEAKER (TO THE DOLLAR)  AND THE OFFSHORE YUAN IS MUCH WEAKER TO THE DOLLAR AND THIS IS COUPLED WITH THE SLIGHTLY STRONGER DOLLAR. CHINA IS NOT HAPPY TODAY

Read More @ HarveyOrganBlog.com

10 Very Strange Facts About The August 21 Solar Eclipse That Will Absolutely Blow Your Mind

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by Michael Snyder, The Economic Collapse Blog:

In just a matter of days we are going to witness the most unusual solar eclipse in U.S. history. Could it be possible that all of the very strange “coincidences” surrounding this event have some sort of special significance?  The mainstream media has been buzzing about this upcoming solar eclipse for months, and it will easily be the most watched eclipse in all of U.S. history.  Last week, I published an article entitled “12 Critical Events That Are Going To Happen Over A 40 Day Period From August 21st To September 30th” that received an extraordinary amount of attention, and of course the first event on that list was “the Great American Eclipse” on the 21st.  As you will see below, so many numbers seem to indicate that this eclipse could have some sort of special significance, and it begins a period of exactly 40 days that many believe could be a turning point for America.

In the Scriptures, we are specifically told that one of the reasons why God created the sun and the moon was so that they could serve as “signs”.  The following is what Genesis 1:14 tells us…

“And God said, Let there be lights in the firmament of the heaven to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs, and for seasons, and for days, and years“

And in Luke 21:25, the Lord Jesus specifically warned us to watch for signs “in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars” just prior to His return.

So we should be watching, and we should fully expect to see something happen up there before Christ comes back.

With that in mind, I would like to share some amazing facts about the solar eclipse on August 21st with you.  These were originally compiled by The Countdown Report, and when I first read them they definitely got my attention…

-First contact is in the state of Oregon, the 33rd state in the USA. The last contact is in South Carolina on the 33rd parallel. This eclipse happens on day 233 of the year. If the Revelation 12 sign is valid, then the eclipse is also 33 days before September 23, 2017. Jesus is thought to have been 33 when He died.

-Just for fun: It is 99 years (3 x 33) since the last eclipse to go coast-to-coast in the US, in 1918. From September 23, 2017 (Revelation 12 sign) to the end of the year, December 31, 2017 is 99 days (or 3 x 33). The number of days from the 1918 eclipse to the August 21 eclipse are 26,234 days. (2+6+2+3+4 = 17; 2017?). From August 12, 2017, the date of the Charlottesville Virginia “State of Emergency” declared to the August 21, 2017 Great Solar Eclipse is 9 days (3+3+3) and the dates are also mirrored – 12 and 21.

-First big city the eclipse hits in Oregon is Salem – Salem was named after Jerusalem. The eclipse also begins in Oregon exactly at sunset time in Jerusalem. So technically speaking, as the sun sets in America it will be setting in Jerusalem at the same time.

-The center line crosses through 12 primary states to receive total darkness. 12 disciples, 12 months in a year, the meaning of 12, which is considered a perfect number, is that it symbolizes God’s power and authority, as well as serving as a perfect governmental foundation.

-The eclipse path is exactly 70 miles wide. 70 has a sacred meaning in the Bible that has two perfect numbers, 7 that represents perfection and 10 that represents completeness and God’s law. 70 also symbolizes perfect spiritual order and a period of judgment. 70 is also specially connected with Jerusalem with so many references it would take a book to write.

-Another eclipse comes in 2024, 7 years after the August 21, 2017 and marks an X over the United States. The combined time of totality of these eclipses together will be 7 minutes. The day of the eclipse is August 21, 2017 – (7 + 7 + 7 = 21). The exact point where the two eclipses cross is right next to Cedar Lake in Illinois… specifically right next to SALEM Road. (Salem again!)

-The original form of the Hebrew letter Tav is like the English letter X or T – which is in the shape of a cross, or X– like the X that is made by the two solar eclipses on the cross paths over 7 years. The letter Tav means “a sign”.

-The path of the eclipse will be situated in such a way that every single state of the US will experience it, even Hawaii and Alaska.

-The totality will reach Oregon at 10:16 AM Pacific, and will end in South Carolina at 2:49 PM Eastern. That means it will take 1 hour and 33 minutes to cross the country. There is that 33 again.

-The eclipse is also exactly 40 days from Yom Kippur. Yom Kippur means “Day of Atonement” and is a time of repentance. While the eclipse day itself may come and go with everything remaining “normal” afterwards, we need to be focused on what could be coming soon after.

You can read the entire list of 33 facts that were compiled by The Countdown Report right here.  I just pulled out the ten that I considered to be the most remarkable.

According to Rachel Baxter, “40 is the number for waiting, preparation, testing or punishment. It is also the number to start a new chapter of the history of salvation”, and we see the number 40 pop up time after time in the Bible.

For instance, in Jonah 3:4 the prophet Jonah gave Ninevah a period of 40 days to repent before judgment would begin…

And Jonah began to enter into the city a day’s journey, and he cried, and said, Yet forty days, and Nineveh shall be overthrown.

Could this coming 40 day time period have some sort of special significance for us?

Read More @ TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com

CIA head says ‘Iran, Hezbollah & Russians’ involved in Venezuela, pose ‘risk’ to US

from RT:

CIA Director Mike Pompeo claimed Venezuela is overrun with Iranians, Hezbollah, Cubans and Russians in response to questions about Donald Trump’s statements about US military intervention.

Pompeo appeared on  Fox News Sunday where he responded to comments made by President Donald Trump on Friday, in which he said there was “a possible military option” for Venezuela.

The CIA head said he believes Trump’s comments were an effort to “give the Venezuelan people hope and opportunity to create a situation where democracy can be restored.”  

Pompeo described “continued deterioration” in Venezuela as “[President Nicolas] Maduro is continuing to assert more power, inflict more pain on the people of Venezuela, you can see the beginning of fissures among various groups.”

“The intelligence makes very clear that the Maduro regime continues to put snipers in towers,” Pompeo said with a laugh, “And do things that are horrible, repressive and the American policy is to work with our Latin American partners to try and restore democracy,” he said.

When asked why Venezuela would be the US’s problem, Pompeo responded:

“Venezuela could very much become a risk for the United States of America. The Cubans are there; the Russians are there, the Iranians, Hezbollah are there. This is something that has a risk of getting to a very very bad place, so America needs to take this very seriously.”

In July, Pompeo suggested the CIA is working on regime change in Venezuela during a talk at the Aspen Security Forum.  

“America has a deep interest in making sure that it is stable, as democratic as possible. And so, we’re working hard to do that, I am always careful when we talk about South and Central America and the CIA, there’s a lot of stories,” Pompeo said to laughter from the audience. Far from it being a joke, US intelligence has been involved in attempted regime change and coups across Latin America between the 50s and early 90s.

Read More @ RT.com

A Few Thoughts on Charlottesville

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by Michael Krieger , libertyblitzkrieg:

I’m going to keep this relatively short. I’ve written thousands of articles over the years, and anyone who’s read me for any period of time knows where I stand when it comes to hatred, bigotry and violence. I find all these things repulsive, and think people who gravitate to such behavior to be operating on such a low level of awareness, it’s genuinely hard for me to believe these people exist in real life.

I published my seminal piece discussing the repulsion I feel with today’s political environment back in February in the post, Lost in the Political Wilderness. Now’s a perfect time to reread that piece, but here’s an excerpt if you’re short on time:

I think the U.S. citizenry is being afflicted by a sort of mass insanity at the moment. There are no good outcomes if this continues. As a result, I feel compelled to provide a voice for those of us lost in the political wilderness. We must persevere and not be manipulated into the obvious and nefarious divide and conquer tactics being aggressively unleashed across the societal spectrum. If we lose our grounding and our fortitude, who will be left to speak for those of us who simply don’t fit into any of the currently ascendant political ideologies?

For those of you who consider yourselves to largely reside in the yellow state (2nd tier consciousness), I have one key message for you. There’s a very deliberate attempt to manipulate you into devolving back into one of the lower tiers. Likewise, there is a very deliberate attempt to prevent those on the cusp of higher consciousness from ever evolving. The reason is simple. The lower tiers are very tribal and easily divided and conquered. The higher tiers are not.

Unlike most people writing articles on Charlottesville, I’m not going to spend my time getting on a pedestal to prove to everyone how much I hate neo-Nazis. My contempt for bigotry and violence has been a constant theme throughout all my writings over the years. In contrast, the purpose of this piece is to try to knock some sense into people so that we don’t lose sight of the bigger picture. Let’s start by discussing a tweet I wrote earlier today.

 

I set myself up for hysterical criticism with that tweet by saying “both sides,” which dishonest people will surely twist into support for Trump’s commentary on this weekend’s violence. I don’t care. While I certainly don’t want to minimize the disturbing scenes from Charlottesville, and the terrible loss of life and multiple injuries that occurred, it’s always important to keep our eyes on the bigger picture.

Margin Debt Sets Four New Peaks This Year — a Red Flag with a New Twist

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by Pam Martens and Russ Martens , wallstreetonparade:

According to the latest data from the New York Stock Exchange, margin debt has hit new peaks four times this year, starting with a new record of $513 billion in January; $528 billion in February; $536.9 billion in March; and reaching a whopping $549 billion in April. The most recent reading for June shows a decline to $539 billion – but that is still an increase of 64 percent from the margin level of January 2008, the year of the epic financial crash on Wall Street.

Spiraling margin debt, where investors pledge securities at their brokerage firm to obtain a loan, typically to buy more securities, is frequently associated with stock market crashes. The dot.com bust followed a margin buying binge in 1999 and early 2000. Margin debt exploded from $153 billion in January 1999 to $278.5 billion by March of 2000, according to data from the New York Stock Exchange archives.

Loans using securities as collateral may be even more dangerous this time around. According to an enforcement action filed by the Massachusetts Securities Division on October 3, 2016, brokerage firms may be pushing securities based loans on their clients for purposes of mortgage funding, tax liabilities, weddings, and graduations. The enforcement action was brought against Morgan Stanley, the behemoth brokerage firm that gobbled up Smith Barney brokers, but the charges include an interesting statement from a former Morgan Stanley broker that suggests that another giant brokerage firm, Merrill Lynch, is offering similar loans. The statement from the broker reads:

“Morgan Stanley told our office during the end of February [2015] and beginning of March to pitch this product to all its customers. Management said they were doing this to keep up with its major competitor, Merrill Lynch, who was already offering express credit lines. They told us that there was big money to be made by having our customers take out credit since the variable interest rate was profitable to the company and they could just sell out of the customers positions if the customer failed to make the payment. They told us to call our customers to tell them that they could use the credit line to buy a house, pay for a home improvement project, buy a car and/or pay for school, etc. They asked us regularly how many people we had put in these products and used measurement tools to compare us amongst our peers. I did not feel comfortable recommending every customer establish a credit line because I felt that my role as a Financial Advisor and Fiduciary was to help customers save and make money and not go into bad debt.”

Offering securities based loans for purposes other than trading is not illegal if the full set of risks are disclosed and there are not inherent conflicts of interest. According to the Massachusetts Securities Division enforcement action, Morgan Stanley ran a sales contest to promote the loans and offered business development incentives to brokers of $1,000 for 10 loans; $3,000 for 20 loans; and $5,000 for 30 loans. The incentives apparently created excitement, with one broker responding in an email: “Game on!”

 

NY Times Warns Climate Change May Be ‘Greater Threat to Guam’ than N. Korea

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by Gage Cohen , CNS News:

On Friday morning, The New York Times promoted its article entitled, “North Korea Aside, Guam Faces Another Threat: Climate Change,” by asking its Twitter readers the question:

 

“What’s a greater threat to Guam? North Korea, or climate change?”

 

“The island of Guam made rare headlines this week when North Korea, responding to blustery language from President Trump, threatened to fire four ballistic missiles into waters near the American territory’s shores,” began the article. “Some Guam residents told reporters that they worried what might happen if North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, were actually to follow through.”

 

“Scientists in Guam, however, say they have at least one other major threat in mind: climate change.”

 

The Times article states that the small U.S. Pacific territory is under threat from changes in temperature, weather, and an increase in oceanic acidity. According to cited experts, such changes have the potential to increase the number of tropical storms in the region, raise the local temperature, and damage the island’s coral reefs.

 

The article also discusses different “adaptation” projects currently underway in Guam to assist the island in coping with the ever-changing climate. However, the author adds a notable caveat in its final paragraph:

 

“Guam’s topography is no guarantee that its climate adaptation projects would be effective over the long term, she [Dr. Keener] added. ‘Climate change adaptation: It’s a new field,’ she said, ‘and you really don’t know how well you’re preparing for things until 20 years, 30 years down the road.’”