Nothing Really Matters, Anyone Can See

by Turd Ferguson, TF Metals:

The US labor force is rapidly shrinking. Wage growth is non-existent. The vast majority of the American people have no savings and little hope for economic improvement. But none of that matters with the G-3 central banks in charge!

So today saw the latest installment of the BLSBS. If you check your "mainstream" sources, you;ll be led to believe that everything is great and getting even better!

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But look under the hood and you see that this is all bullshit. The unemployment rate that Drudge blares on behalf of Trump is only at its "lowest since 2000" because October saw an astonishing 968,000 people leave the labor force. This leaves the total number of people NOT in the labor force at a record 95,385,000. Then, as ZH notes, "this took place as the number of employed Americans declined by 484,000, however since the unemployment rate denominator dropped more, it translated into an actual decline in the unemployment rate!"  Read all about it here: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-03/people-not-labor-force-soar-record-954-million-968000-drop-out-one-month

Secondly, about this notion of "hiring bouncing back" and the "economy rebounds". Do you recall this very prescient chart from Morgan Stanley? Well, the two hurricanes messed up the math BUT, since this BLSBS is all about "catch up", let's take another look:

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If this chart had continued to be accurate (no hurricanes), the combined total of "new jobs" for September and October would have been 345,000. And what was the actual total? September was revised today to +18,000 and this latest report had October at 261,000. That's a total of 279,000. Hmmmm. How about that for your "rebounding" economy and job market?!?

And the wage growth component was terrible, too, with wages FLAT month-over-month and coming in at a growth of just 2.4% year-over-year. This includes all of the high-end, top-salary types so can you imagine what the actual wage growth is for the vast majority of Americans who actually do all the living, working and dying? Try close to ZERO!

But, of course, here's the thing. When the G-3 central banks attempt to control everything, none of this matters at all. In typical G-3 fashion, the all-important USDJPY sank on the news, it immediately double-bottomed and then moved higher at 45 degrees until it was right back to where it was at 8:29 EDT.

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