by Leo Hohmann, Leo’s Newsletter:
If it’s even true that Trump is looking for an off ramp, global power elites will make sure he doesn’t find one; WWIII and military draft incoming
In case you haven’t noticed, the war in the Middle East is expanding.
Just in the last few days, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Egypt have all been drawn into the conflict that started with just three parties — the U.S., Israel and Iran. The new additions make this a truly regional war with global ramifications. Even Ukraine managed this week to get involved, striking an Iranian ship it said was sending military supplies to Russia. For those who needed an outward sign, this attack by Ukraine connects the Middle East war with Iran to the war against Russia in Eastern Europe. As I’ve been saying for months, it’s all part of the same war.
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Egyptian officials confirmed today that two ships on its Mediterranean coast came under a drone attack Wednesday at the port of Damietta, a key loading point for liquified natural gas (LNG). As of this writing, no nation or entity has claimed responsibility for the attack, a sure sign of a false flag by malevolent forces, while Western fingers are predictably being pointed at Iran. You can use your imagination as to who would like to expand the war in the direction of Egypt by looking at whose interests that serves.
So far, this is following the exact trajectory I predicted when these wars started in Ukraine and the Middle East. Because I saw them as part of the same major war, not separate conflicts, I knew they would continue to escalate and anyone talking about memorandums of understanding (MoU), peace talks and Trump looking for an off-ramp doesn’t know what they’re talking about and aren’t worth listening to. Trump may want an off ramp, but the powers driving these wars and financing them will make sure he isn’t presented with one that his ego will let him take. Those financing the wars are the ones pulling the puppet strings. The politicians associated with the wars are mere front men.
Donald Trump by now must be well aware that bombing alone is not going to take out the Iranian government. A ground invasion will be necessary. But he also knows that any landing of troops on Iranian soil will result in tremendous casualties for the invaders.
All this talk from various Iranian ex-pats that gets regurgitated by conservative podcasters and writers that the Iranian regime is weak and ready to fall as soon as U.S. troops hit the ground is pure fantasy. Then, they tell us, Iran can install the Clown Prince Reza Pahlavi, the playboy son of the former Shah, to rule happily ever after in the interests of America and Israel. Pure poppycock. Do not listen to these people. Reza would not survive one week without a bloody civil war tearing apart Iran, if he could even govern without being assassinated.
Trump himself knows this.
But Trump doesn’t want to land U.S. troops on Iranian soil if he can help it, at least not right before the mid-term elections. He knows launching this phase of the war would result in high casualties in a very unpopular war and that such a war would also likely require the U.S. to reinstate a military draft.
Ideally, I believe Trump would like to find a willing proxy to invade Iran. The Kurds have been mentioned as one possibility but Iran seems ready for that eventuality. Could Egypt be a better option? Egypt has a very large army and we see that country being hit at its weak point, the Suez Canal zone and connected ports, a major trade route into the Mediterranean Sea.
If we see further assaults on Egypt’s main economic connection to the outside world, that’s a sign that they are being targeted for the role of willing proxy against Iran. Egypt also has a large Sunni Muslim population, which has no love for Iran’s Shia Muslims, so the religious element also works in favor of them being recruited as a Western proxy, along with the Kurds, the Saudis and anyone else who is willing to join the fight against Iran.
