by Mike Adams, Natural News:
The Warning We Cannot Ignore
I am writing this in May of 2026, and I am not making a prediction. I am issuing a warning based on hard evidence. By the end of 2027, if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed due to the war provoked by the Trump administration and its Israeli allies, millions of people will starve to death. This is not a drought or a plague — it is a man-made catastrophe. The conflict in the Middle East has blocked the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off 25% of the world’s natural gas supply that is essential for fertilizer production. Most people think famine only happens in distant countries, but I will show you why the United States is not immune and why you need to act now.
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As I have reported repeatedly, the closure has already cut off the flow of fertilizer to the world’s most vulnerable nations, and the food system is now collapsing in slow motion. “The Strait of Hormuz, the critical artery for global energy and fertilizer shipments, is effectively closed” [1]. This is not a temporary supply hiccup; it is a deliberate tremor of a global energy collapse. Every day this conflict continues adds some calculable number of deaths in 2027. This is a holocaust-scale tragedy that is entirely preventable — if the war ends and the ships flow again.
How the Global Food System Became a House of Cards
Four billion people who are living today depend on the Haber-Bosch process that turns natural gas into nitrogen fertilizers. Without it, modern agriculture collapses. The Persian Gulf supplies a quarter of the world’s natural gas feedstock for fertilizer, and the damage to infrastructure in Qatar and elsewhere will take years to repair. On March 19, 2026, the CEO of QatarEnergy confirmed that retaliatory strikes had destroyed two of Qatar’s fourteen critical LNG trains [2]. This is not a supply chain hiccup — it is a surgical strike on the very architecture that feeds human civilization.
Countries like China and Russia have halted fertilizer exports, and the United States is exporting its own oil and gas at subsidized prices, leaving us exposed in the long run. “The triple shock — the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, China’s export ban, and Russia’s quota system — has already doubled urea prices in many markets” [3]. The globalist system of just-in-time supply chains prioritizes profit over food security, and now we are paying the price. As I noted in my analysis of the Haber-Bosch house of cards, “the single chart which maps our population explosion directly to synthetic nitrogen fertilizer exposes our fragile, suicidal dependency” [4].
From Fertilizer to Famine: The Mechanism You Need to Understand
The relationship between fertilizer reduction and crop yield is non-linear: a 10% drop in fertilizer can cause up to a 30% drop in yield for corn and other high-demand crops (actual numbers vary depending on the crop and other conditions). Our soils are already depleted; without synthetic inputs, yields plummet, and farmers are switching to less nitrogen-hungry crops like soybeans, which will change our diets. In my interview with Marjory Wildcraft, I discussed how the lack of fertilizer will force a shift to home gardening, but most people are not prepared for that [5].
