by Single Farmer, Survival Blog:
(Continued from Part 2.)
If you are counting on tax-subsidized experts to save you with a long advance warning, it will probably not materialize. Because of bureaucratic incompetence, turf wars, and other bureaucratic intransigence, it is doubtful that our tax dollars that fund the military and other emergency responses will ever actually do any good for you, on an individual level. Unlike the vast majority of the population which is lulled into complacency, you are reading this blog, trying to figure things out as to how to survive the future.
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If you are looking for a sign, here it is: Evaluate, weigh, and make decisions that are best for your individual situation. No one is likely coming to save you. You have an unknown period during this “golden age” to get your house in order, to have or complete your family, and to provide for your family. You likely will never receive an alert: If you wish to survive, then you will have to prepare yourself and proceed accordingly.
In the following days, I will outline a couple of historical warnings to inform your perspective and multiple levels of preparedness. The level will depend on what you can afford as a potential budget using dollar figures. The likelihood of you as an individual ever receiving a “flash” warning is almost non-existent unless you are in some official capacity or a VIP having access to proprietary information. Even then, military intelligence is often an oxymoron. As a student of history, I can describe how often they got it wrong, or provided it too late to be useful.
The U.S. Navy staff at Pearl Harbor had a warning even on December 7th. If it had been acted on would have resulted in General Quarters for anti-aircraft fire and dozens of interceptor airplanes from Wheeler Field being scrambled. Instead, Pearl Harbor had its last few hours at peace while hundreds of Japanese planes played out a scenario that was already known to both knowledgeable Americans and Japanese. I will not venture into “conspiracy” theories because they can be interesting (and many times reveal themselves to have increasing veracity based on emerging facts), but I try to provide provable, documentable historical information. That fateful morning on December 7, 1941, Pearl Harbor received a radar warning delivered by two enlisted men and through a series of events that often happen in a command structure organization, they were ignored. The duty officer said to the radar man trying to warn of this unusual radar return which suggested a large number of aircraft: “Don’t worry about it.” The officer was later cleared, retired from the military as an O-5 after many years and he lived a long life. One of the men providing the warning later became an inventor with 35 patents to his name. Pearl Harbor also received another warning that was delivered via Western Union messenger instead of through military channels. It was delivered after the attack was already underway.
For all of those military apologists who say that the attack was unprecedented and that no reasonable person could envision such a possibility, the problem is that they probably do not know that the “attack” was predicted in well-publicized exercises, long before — catching the military establishment each time completely flatfooted. Often, the problem with the military is that generals and admirals prefer well-worn safe paths (anything less is often not career-enhancing) with innovation generally discouraged.
Unfortunately, Pearl Harbor had already been practice “bombed” with bags of flour delivered by aircraft from “enemy” aircraft carriers on Sunday February 7, 1932 during a “fleet problem.” Few people reading this probably currently have heard of “fleet problems” which were a series of war game exercises trying to uncover vulnerabilities. The readers of this article have an advantage: You are seeking to go beyond the headlines and news (which are mainly propaganda) to discover real facts and the complete unvarnished truth. You can use this knowledge to analyze our current situation and to make plans to mitigate potential problems.
To avoid this becoming an exhaustive analysis of naval warfare doctrine, I will briefly summarize the situation. American naval power in the early 20th Century was concentrated on trying to confront rising tensions on both the world stage and in the Far East, specifically a rising Japan. The Washington Naval Treaty of 1922 tried to limit capital ship construction among allies of the First World War which included the Japanese as all of these military expenditures were a drain on every nation’s finances with these agreements putting a moratorium on a burgeoning arms race in the 1920s. Instead, the 1920s were filled in many parts of the country with peace, prosperity, and exuberance until that party ended in the Great Depression beginning in 1929. Years later President Eisenhower warned at the beginning of his Presidency in 1953:
“Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children. The cost of one modern heavy bomber is this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. It is two electric power plants, each serving a town of 60,000 population. It is two fine, fully equipped hospitals. It is some fifty miles of concrete pavement. We pay for a single fighter with a half-million bushels of wheat. We pay for a single destroyer with new homes that could have housed more than 8,000 people…This is not a way of life at all, in any true sense. Under the cloud of threatening war, it is humanity hanging from a cross of iron.”
Beginning in 1922, naval exercises began to confront possible scenarios in war games exercises. By Fleet Problem V in 1925, the vulnerability of Pearl Harbor was shown. In this scenario, Schofield Barracks was successfully “invaded” by 30,000 marines (some real, and some on paper) representing an enemy force. The fateful Fleet Problem XIII in 1932 involved the bombing of Pearl Harbor by “enemy” aircraft. This was well covered in the newspapers and did not go unnoticed by the Japanese.
One interesting criticism of these exercises was that the “enemy” team operated using unfair tactics including attacking on a Sunday. Pearl Harbor was again successfully “attacked” in 1938 in Fleet Problem XIX. All of these were warnings, but few paid any attention except the Japanese. Billy Mitchell made his famous prediction in 1924 in a lengthy secret report which was buried. He filed his report after being sent on a year-long fact-finding inspection mission to the Far East, which in many ways could be interpreted as an exile. Billy Mitchell returned and then he wrote his report detailing that the attack would take place at 7:30 AM. The attack began at 7:50 AM, seventeen years after he wrote the report! Pearl Harbor did not need a warning of an attack on the morning of December 7th because they had almost two decades of advanced warning.
