by Mish Shedlock, The Street:
I crunch the numbers several ways and conclude between 150,000 and 450,000 people will lose their job over Mayor Bill de Blasio’s vaccination requirement for all NYC workers.
Over the Top Tweet
Here’s a Tweet that caught my eye as a wild exaggeration.
TRUTH LIVES on at https://sgtreport.tv/
To be clear, Mayor de Blasio is saying that 45% of blacks, 40% of whites, and 30% of Hispanics will be ineligible and legally barred from working in New York City in 20 days.
— Joe Borelli (@JoeBorelliNYC) December 6, 2021
According to Joe Borelli, NYC Council Minority Leader, 45% of blacks, 40% of whites, and 30% of Hispanics will be ineligible and legally barred from working in New York City in 20 days.
Borelli is talking about Mayor Bill de Blasio ‘first in the nation’ vaccination mandate for all workers in New York City starting December 27.
Let’s compute realistic numbers based on vaccination data and the latest census demographic data.
Percent of Residents Vaccinated
NYC Vaccination Data shows that at most, 18.3% of New Yorker residents are theoretically impacted, but not all of them work.
New York City Demographics
As of the 2020 Census, the population of New York City was 8,804,190.
But how many of them are working age? The above link did not have an age breakdown for 2020 so let’s use the 2000 census data as a very good approximation.
New York City Population By Age
Those under 18 and those over 65 are 36% of the population. Those 18-65 are 64% of the eligible population.
64% of 8,804,190 is 5,634,816. That’s on the high side in practice.
New York City Employees
As of October 2021, the number of NYC employees is 4,226,300.