How Many People in NYC Are At Risk of Losing Their Job Over the Mayor’s Vaccine Mandate?


by Mish Shedlock, The Street:

I crunch the numbers several ways and conclude between 150,000 and 450,000 people will lose their job over Mayor Bill de Blasio’s vaccination requirement for all NYC workers.

Over the Top Tweet

Here’s a Tweet that caught my eye as a wild exaggeration.


According to Joe Borelli, NYC Council Minority Leader, 45% of blacks, 40% of whites, and 30% of Hispanics will be ineligible and legally barred from working in New York City in 20 days.

Borelli is talking about Mayor Bill de Blasio ‘first in the nation’ vaccination mandate for all workers in New York City starting December 27.

Fact Check 

Let’s compute realistic numbers based on vaccination data and the latest census demographic data.

Percent of Residents Vaccinated

Percent of Residentc NYC Vaccinated

NYC Vaccination Data shows that at most, 18.3% of New Yorker residents are theoretically impacted, but not all of them work.

New York City Demographics 

New York City's 5 Buroughs

As of the 2020 Census, the population of New York City was 8,804,190.

But how many of them are working age? The above link did not have an age breakdown for 2020 so let’s use the 2000 census data as a very good approximation.

New York City Population By Age 

NYC Population by Age

Those under 18 and those over 65 are 36% of the population. Those 18-65 are 64% of the eligible population.

64% of 8,804,190 is 5,634,816. That’s on the high side in practice.

New York City Employees

All Employees NYC

As of October 2021, the number of NYC employees is 4,226,300.

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