by Karl Denninger, Market Ticker:
The UCLA team created maps of movement and found that on average each nursing home is connected to seven others through staff movement. Limiting nursing home employees to one facility could mean fewer COVID-19 infections — but that would hurt the workforce of people who say they work multiple jobs because of low wages.
Can we stop with the cock-n-bull story about Covid being about human life and suffering?
More than 84,000 residents and staff of nursing homes and other long-term care facilities have died from COVID-19 across the U.S., representing 40% of all coronavirus fatalities in the country, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation’s most recent analysis. (Kaiser Health News is an editorially independent program of the foundation.)
By the way, nursing homes have about 0.5% of the population of the United States. So on a ratable basis being in a nursing home means you are eighty times more likely to die from Covid than you should be based on your population representation. And by the way, that’s not adjusted for life expectancy; on a per-month basis you’re not eighty times more likely to die from Covid, it is something like 10,000 times more likely Covid will kill you if you’re in a nursing home on a month-by-month basis!
What is the multiplier if I drive with a BAC over 0.1%? 0.08 is legally intoxicated, but nearly everyone who is involved in a fatal accident or is arrested for DUI has a level well north of 0.1. The median in one study I read said it was 0.15. Having a little portable breathalyzer that I keep in my car to not drive while intoxicated, and having given one to my daughter when she turned 21 for the same reason, I can tell you with a high degree of certainty that 0.15 is ****ing smashed.
But — I bet if I was to drive with a 0.15 BAC I would be less than EIGHTY TIMES more likely to cause or be in an injury (or death) accident than while driving sober. Far more likely than if sober? Sure. But the statistics are clear; alcohol is involved in a very significant percentage of fatal car accidents but by no means is it statistically all of them, which is what this data substantiates.
I remind you that I wrote on this back in March and April, when the pattern became clear. If we wanted to stop Covid from killing people the most-effective means to do so was to rent RVs or FEMA-style trailers and put them in the parking lots of nursing homes, locking the employees on the property and paying them whatever amount of money it took to convince them to do so and not quit.
We knew in March that Covid was in feces and 40% of the nursing home residents are incontinent. It is impossible to prevent the bug from spreading once it gets in there unless you have extraordinary infection control that extends to all clothing, bedding and other items in the room that can be potentially cross-contaminated. That is nearly impossible in shared rooms where one of the residents is incontinent, and the ventilation systems and bathrooms make it even worse since any aerosolized feces is going to get all over the bathroom and inevitably infect the other resident.
Exactly zero nursing homes in the United States are set up to deal with this, and there is no reasonable way to change that on a short-term basis, nor can you realistically do it at all for the money available. Never mind that the median life expectancy for someone who is admitted to one of these places is six months. Yes, some people live in them for years, but the median is six months.
She doesn’t want to work at multiple nursing homes, but her rent is $2,200 a month, and her low pay and limited hours at each nursing home make multiple jobs a necessity.
“I don’t want to get sick. But we need to work. We need to eat, we need to pay rent. That’s just how it is,” Tapia says.
So rather than face reality — that we, the people created this system, we funded it, we built warehouses where we shovel old people who we don’t like very much and don’t want to deal with, and did so at a price where a living wage cannot be made by working at one single location and, God Forbid, staying in a trailer for the next six months and then we shut down schools, we closed businesses, we closed bars, we canceled concerts and destroyed people’s lives after we created the conditions in which this alleged “pandemic” would kill medically brittle people on purpose and for profit.
Of course what do they all say? “Increase access to PPE”, right?
Nice try, no donut.
The problem is structural and so the lawyers and policy wonks can’t solve it without structural changes, which are not going to happen in the short term because they can’t, and they won’t happen in the long term either, because Covid will be over.
But folks, this is a math problem when you get down to it.