by Neenah Payne, Activist Post:
All Americans know everything costs a LOT more than it used to. However, many people don’t realize that inflation is driven by how much the value of the dollar has declined in the last 100 years. The chart below shows that the dollar has lost almost all its value.
End of the US Dollar?
The U.S. dollar became the dominant currency in the global economy soon after World War I. The Bretton Woods accord in 1944 solidified its position at the top. Since the dollar has been the world’s reserve currency throughout their lives, many Americans assume it will continue to be so forever – or at least for the foreseeable future.
However, as the chart below shows, there have been several global reserve currencies in the last 700 years – with an average span of 94 years – and two for only 80 years. The U.S. dollar’s dominance will end when a combination of factors causes investors, governments, and markets to abandon it. The U.S. can accelerate the dollar’s loss of status as the global reserve currency – and has been doing so by escalating debt, increasing inflation (which is now official Fed policy), declining domestic savings rates, and rising deficit.
There have been discussions for several years about replacing the dollar with a variety of currencies including the “Amero” for the North American Union to correspond to the “euro” in the European Union and the International Monetary Fund’s “Special Drawing Rights” (SDRs) – a basket of leading world currencies.
Given the fact that the dollar has lost so much of its value, it’s not unreasonable to recognize that it’s near the end of its run now and to consider what may replace it – and when. It’s also smart to prepare for that transition now as signs continue to suggest a replacement may be as early as January 1, 2021.
Gold or Bitcoin?
When President Richard Nixon severed the dollar’s final link to gold in 1971, it had major consequences that few people realize. 1971: The Year That Changed Everything links to the WTF Happened In 1971? website. Ron Paul and others have proposed a return to the gold standard to restore a sound US dollar. Paul’s monetary-policy epiphany came on Aug. 15, 1971 – the day the Fed shut its “gold window,” meaning foreign governments could no longer trade gold for dollars at the fixed rate of $35 an ounce. That shocked Dr. Paul, a successful Texas obstetrician. He said, “That’s why I ran for Congress”. Dr. Paul represented the 22nd congressional district from 1976-1977 and again from 1979-1985. He represented the Texas 14th congressional district from 1997-2013.
However, the video interview below explains why gold is no longer the best choice for a sound currency. The interview is with Ben and Collin Prentice who created the WTF Happened In 1971? site. These savvy Millennials are advocates of Bitcoin which they believe solves many of society’s problems. Ben says that, contrary to what boomers believe, gold has failed as a currency because a politician like Nixon could decouple it from our money supply at the stroke of a pen — and one politician destroyed the world’s economic system. So, they believe that bitcoin may be the ONLY chance for sound money because it cannot be controlled by anyone and turned into a fiat concurrency.
Many wise investors have diversified their portfolio with gold. However, since the introduction of bitcoin in 2009, even more savvy people have hedged their bets by getting into cryptocurrencies. The chart below shows that was a profitable choice. As gold rose about 30% from March to August this year, bitcoin soared about 130%.
The Inevitable, Imminent US Digital Dollar
The Coming US Digital Dollar (Part 1): What it is, and Why it Matters is a June 24 article by Dr. Garrick Hileman that explains why the US Digital Dollar is now inevitable and imminent. His bio says he is:
Head of Research at Blockchain.com and Visiting Fellow at the London School of Economics Garrick is best known for his research on monetary and distributed systems innovation, particularly cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. Garrick was ranked as one of the 100 most influential economists in the UK & Ireland. He is a regularly invited speaker to various private and public sector institutions, including the CIA, US Army and Naval War Colleges, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of International Settlements, and the Financial Stability Board. Garrick is also frequently asked to share his research and perspective with the media, including the BBC, CNBC, FT, WSJ, and NPR.
The article warns:
Just over twelve months ago, few thought the creation of a new US digital dollar…would soon be on the policy and legislative “front burner” in Congress, the Federal Reserve, and other regulatory bodies….. But over the past twelve months there were several major developments that together have radically shifted forward the probability of introducing a broadly held and transacted US digital dollar:
- Facebook’s ambitious global Libra currency was announced in mid-June 2019, and it would be underpinned by blockchain technology…to service Facebook’s billions of users.
- China began testing in April 2020 its digital yuan, the DCEP (Digital Currency Electronic Payment)
- US-China strategic competition and geopolitical tensions escalated
- The coronavirus pandemic struck, painfully demonstrating the antiquated nature of US monetary and financial infrastructure
- The ongoing growth in stablecoin and cryptoasset use, which present ever-growing competition to traditional fiat currencies.
Because Facebook is a global company, the world’s banks are afraid people around the world might switch to Facebook’s Libra digital currency. Amazon also has a digital currency. Coins by Facebook and Amazon are called “stablecoins”. JP Morgan Chase came out with its own digital coin in 2016. This key and growing shift in currency is happening outside the awareness of many Americans.
The article adds:
In late-March US digital dollar legislation was first introduced in Congress, and a subsequent growing stream of Congressional testimony, policy research papers, and various lobbying initiatives and proposals indicate growing momentum behind the creation of a US digital dollar….
The interest in a US digital dollar, and central bank digital currency more generally, was inspired early-on by the success of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin (BTC) and its underlying technology…..Bitcoin has reliably operated for over 11 years now, and surveys show awareness of bitcoin registering at over 80% in many countries. Tens of millions of people around the world own bitcoin, and it has a market value at present of approximately ~$175 billion USD.