by Karl Denninger, Market Ticker:
The scream factory is at it again on Trump’s statement that he is using HCQ as a prophylaxis for Covid-19, with some breathlessly stating that “he’s going to kill people”.
Well, is there any evidence for PEP (post-exposure prophylaxis) working?
•In the context of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, management of exposure events is a concern.
•There was a large COVID-19 exposure event at a long-term care hospital in Korea.
•Post-exposure prophylaxis using hydroxychloroquine was provided to 211 individuals.
•Disease development was successfully prevented without severe adverse events.
Now there’s no control group, nor is it random. These are fair criticisms.
However, there were no serious adverse events and nobody exposed developed the disease either. That’s extraordinarily unlikely given the claimed contagiousness of this bug and that the index case was symptomatic unless the PEP was effective at preventing disease.
So let’s contrast that with governors such as Cuomo who intentionally seeded Covid+ patients into nursing homes and no such measures were taken.
We know that outcome too; thousands of deaths.
Which do you think is a wiser choice?
Oh, and in a followup question, if you prevented nearly all of those cases of disease, and others where exposure was believed to have happened, would you still have any reason remaining for any sort of “lockdown” or “distancing” measures to be mandated, and for the economy to be destroyed?