by Dean Garrison, DC Clothesline:
PK Note: To learn the truth of South Africa, pick up The Scourge of the ANC or (though extremely rare)Land of Sorrow: 20 Years of Farm Attacks in South Africa.
Twenty six years after the fall of Apartheid in South Africa and the implementation of black rule (a nation truly proving democracy is nothing more than a racial headcount), we get the consequences of a people rejecting whites and mistakenly believing they can maintain the civilization and infrastructure they have inherited. [Eskom tells municipalities to prepare for stage 8 load-shedding, MyBroadBand.co.za.com, January 13, 2020]:
Eskom was forced to implement stage 6 load shedding in December – its worst-ever blackout – sending the country into a panic as not many people were aware of what that stage actually meant for them.
Municipalities too were caught off-guard, with Johannesburg electricity distributor City Power saying at the time that it had no load-shedding schedule for Stage 6.
The year is 2020, and generation and maintenance challenges continue to mount at the state company which generates 96% of South Africa’s electricity.
As a result, all municipalities have been advised to adjust their load shedding schedule up to stage 8, the Buffalo City Municipality said in a statement on Saturday (11 January).
With each stage representing a curtailment of 5% of the national load, stage 8 will equate to 40% of the load being shed, the municipality said.
Under the previous load shedding schedule, four stages were implemented with between 1,000 MW and 4,000 MW of the national load shed – with ‘stage 4’ being the worst possible outcome for South African consumers.
Stage 4 will typically result in consumers being without power for a total of 24 hours spread out over four days, or a total of 48 hours over eight days.
However, Eskom has since revised its schedule to include up to eight different stages, and as much as 8,000 MW shed from the national grid.
During stage 8 load shedding, consumers could be without power for 48 hours over four days, or 96 hours in eight days.
Prepare for the worst
As municipalities prepare for the logistics of stage 8 load shedding, an energy expert warned that South Africans should prepare for the worst – regular stage 6 load-shedding, and 10-hour daily blackouts.
EE Business Intelligence MD Chris Yelland said Eskom’s declining energy availability factor (EAF) is a cause for serious concern.
The energy availability factor shows the percentage of Eskom’s generation capacity which is available, taking into account planned maintenance and unplanned breakdowns.
Yelland said the EAF data for 2019 paints a grim picture of ageing, under-maintained, and stressed power plants.