Debate Over Food Inflation: What’s the Real Story?


by Mish Shedlock, Mish Talk:

Is food a bargain or are prices rising far faster than the BLS says they are?

The above image is from the Visual Capitalist via ZeroHedge a Decade of Grocery Prices for 30 Common Items.

Is the chart accurate? I have no reason to believe otherwise.

In fact, it supports my contention that food is a bargain.

Annualized Rate of Inflation

16 of 30 Items Annualized Inflation Under 2%

16 of the 30 items listed by the Visual Capitalist have prices rising less than 2% per year.

Foods that Store Easily

Next consider flour, rice, sugar, pasta, and dried beans.

All of those items store very well for long periods of time in a pantry. No refrigeration is necessary.

Moreover, all of those items go on sale periodically. There is no reason to buy any of those items when not on sale.

And how much flour and sugar does one use anyway? Few bake bread any more, and those who do can always buy on sale.

Pasta is frequently 2 for 1.

There are 5 items in this category.


I have discussed this before and it’s worth repeating. Get a freezer!

I was at Sam’s Club a week ago. Whole pork tenderloin was on sale at $1.98 a pound. It is still on sale today at that price.

Compare that price to the Visual Capitalist listed price of $3.82.

All of the prices listed by the Visual Capitalist are likely accurate, but as of a moment in time.

Anyone paying those prices has no idea how to shop.

Paying $4.12 per pound for ground beef or $3.21 for boneless chicken is absurd.

Frozen turkeys go on sale every Thanksgiving for $0.69 or so. That’s the same freaking price nearly every year for 10 years. Buy 2 or 3. Have one for thanksgiving and another for Christmas and Easter.

Bacon, on sale, is often 2 for 1.

There are 7 items in the meat basket. One of them, pork, also falls in the under 2% inflation category.

Peanut Butter

Peanut butter does not store forever, but it does store well, especially unopened, and is frequently on sale.

Food Inflation Complaints

  • Grapes at 2.48% inflation.
  • Potatoes at 3.31% inflation.
  • Cookies at 2.54% inflation.

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