by SGT, SGT Report.com:
I just read this cogent, insightful analysis from my friend Jean-Claude (it makes me feel well traveled just to say his name), and I wanted to share it with you. It’s GOOD news for crypto HODL’ers, so here goes…
Loved the interview with Craig. Great job! He made a really good point regarding the futures market. Even if they could take the upper hand with the futures, “They just can’t roll them out fast enough to follow the massive buying interest that can quickly move to other coins”. It is not a feasible/sustainable strategy in my opinion. Time will tell if Clif is correct about them shooting themselves in the foot.
Ok so take a look at this technical chart for bitcoin:
Bitcoin has completed this ABC re-tracement pattern MANY times before and there was no Futures involved at the time. I am not convinced the futures are having the effect they wanted – but i’m keeping a close eye on it. As with previous instances, the ABC retracement is a buying opportunity. Once, the C is completed, we will never see those prices again. Same was true at 5k, 3k, 1k, 800$ etc. See chart below.
But the really big story in the above technical chart is the “Massive buy volume” candle at the bottom of the chart. As Craig would say, this is not the shoeshine boy and the taxi driver buying bitcoin. This is big money coming in buying hand over fist. This is happening while exchanges and local BTMs are deliberately bottlenecking the simpletons from getting in on the dips. Coinbase and many other exchanges have limit orders in place and will not let you buy your desired quantity. Local BTMs in Ottawa are charging 45% premiums tonight as i am writing this email!!! See snap shot below.
So really, at 10k bitcoin, if you want to hold one in your wallet today it will still cost you 14 500$. That is the same thing that happens to silver when it flash crashes and the premiums skyrocket in the “real world” (not in the fake paper game world). You’ll remember it was impossible to buy physical silver at 12$….
Also, another thing to note is that Bitcoin, in just looking at the bitcoin/usd chart for the last 3 years, will show you that it has corrected every year between the 4th and 15th of January. This too, was happening when no futures markets were around. Follow this ling to see the charts. So again, i’m still keeping a close eye on the futures but I don’t think the have a major role to play in this current retracement.
Knowing and understanding all this gives me the intestinal fortitude to not only HODL but to also “try” best they will let me to buy the dips and to lower my dollar cost average.
Like Craig and you Sean, i also am a BIG fan of Silver and continue to hold physical as a hedge to my cryptos.
Love you guys. Keep up the great work!