by Egon von Greyerz, Gold Switzerland:
In 1988, the UK magazine, The Economist forecast that 2018 would be the year of a new currency which they named the Phoenix. Quite a mind boggling prediction 30 years ago really, especially since 2018 in fact looks like a year when a major currency upheaval could take place.
For conspiracy theorists, the Economist’s owners consist of a number of elite families and bankers including the Rothschilds. Was this a plan which has been in the making for a very long time? Or is it sheer fluke that a major currency event might take place in the year that the Economist predicted.
So what could be the events that will lead to a major disruption in currency markets and in the world economy in 2018:
The demise of the dollar as the reserve currency of the world is a certainty. It is only a question of when it will take place. The dollar does not qualify as the rock of the world currency system. Since the gold backing of the dollar ceased in 1971, it has lost 98% in real terms when measured against gold. But also against most other currencies, the dollar has lost greatly. In Swiss francs for example, the dollar is down 77% since 1971. The dollar is backed by massive debts and deficits. The US has not had a real Budget surplus since 1960 and has been running Trade deficits since 1975. The dollar is backed by nothing but debts and a weakening military. It is living on borrowed time.
FALL OF PETRODOLLAR AND RISE OF PETROYUAN
In 1974 the US agreed to support Saudi Arabia financially and militarily on the condition that the Saudis priced oil in dollars. Since most of the world bought oil from Saudi Arabia at that time, it led to a major demand for dollars which is still the case. That was the beginning of the Petrodollar which has enabled the US to live above its means for 44 years. But from 2018 the Petrodollar will gradually be replaced by the Petroyuan and also the Petroruble. China, the world’s largest oil importer, will together with Russia and Iran switch from trading oil in dollars. This will be backed by a futures contract in Petroyuan with a potential convertibility to gold. Except for further military intervention in the Middle East, the US now has little chance of stopping this major strike against the dollar. The US is currently virtually self-sufficient in oil production and is no longer a major trading partner of Saudi Arabia. Therefore, the US neither can nor will stop Saudi Arabia moving its sphere of activity from West to East.
THE CRYPTO BUBBLE AND THE CRYPTODOLLAR
The major event this year which has convinced many that we have a new currency system which is controlled by no country and no central bank is of course the Cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin. In 2017, we have seen a mania in cryptos of massive proportions. At the beginning of the year, the market cap of all cryptos was $17 billion. As of today, there are 1,360 cryptos with a total value of $588 billion. That is a 34 fold or 3,300% increase in the value of cryptocurrencies in just one year. There are 589 cryptos valued over $1 million with Bitcoin being the biggest at $312 billion.
BITCOIN A BIGGER BUBBLE THAN TULIP BULBS
How can anyone believe that the world can function with a payment system that has 1,360 currencies which is continuing to grow exponentially with a new ICO (Initial Coin Offering) virtually every day.
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